“Nuclear Domino” Effect: Pyongyang Predicts Regional Crisis Over Sub Deal

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North Korea has invoked the chilling imagery of a “nuclear domino” effect to condemn a new pact between South Korea and the United States. In a commentary released on Tuesday via state media, Pyongyang blasted the agreement that allows Seoul to develop nuclear-powered submarines. The North argues that this move disrupts the delicate balance of power in East Asia and will inevitably lead to widespread nuclear proliferation across the region, destabilizing the security architecture that has held for decades.

The controversy stems from an announcement made last week by South Korean President Lee Jae Myung. He confirmed the finalization of a security and trade agreement with Washington that grants South Korea expanded authority over uranium enrichment and spent-fuel reprocessing. These technical capabilities are the prerequisites for operating atomic-powered vessels. While Seoul frames this as a modernization of its defense forces, Pyongyang describes it as a “dangerous attempt at confrontation” that threatens its own existence.

This fierce rhetorical pushback creates a jarring contrast with recent diplomatic maneuvers. Only a day prior to the commentary, the South Korean government had extended an olive branch, proposing military talks to prevent accidental border clashes. This was the first such offer in seven years, marking a significant attempt to de-escalate tensions. President Lee has further differentiated himself from his conservative predecessor by offering broader discussions without preconditions.

However, the North’s focus remains squarely on the military implications of the submarine deal. By warning of a “nuclear domino phenomenon,” North Korea is suggesting that if South Korea acquires nuclear propulsion technology, other neighbors like Japan might feel compelled to follow suit. This would spark a “hot arms race,” creating a volatile environment where multiple nations are vying for nuclear superiority in a confined geographical space.

As of now, the silence regarding the peace talks is deafening. North Korea has not responded to President Lee’s offer for dialogue, choosing instead to channel its communication through condemnation of the submarine program. The situation leaves the Korean Peninsula in a precarious position, where the potential for a renewed arms race seems to be overshadowing the faint hope for diplomatic re-engagement.

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